Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.030527 0.032821 0.035218 0.037913 0.040861 0.043994 0.047580
2025-05-25 0.026537 0.029760 0.033303 0.037502 0.042360 0.047826 0.054471
2025-06-01 0.023699 0.027416 0.031660 0.036895 0.043216 0.050654 0.060141
2025-06-08 0.021512 0.025504 0.030203 0.036187 0.043670 0.052806 0.064939
2025-06-15 0.019937 0.024134 0.029202 0.035836 0.044390 0.055179 0.070032
2025-06-22 0.018646 0.022983 0.028338 0.035522 0.045037 0.057396 0.074975
2025-06-29 0.017399 0.021784 0.027305 0.034871 0.045134 0.058816 0.078859
2025-07-06 0.016728 0.021268 0.027094 0.035249 0.046578 0.062083 0.085489
2025-07-13 0.015990 0.020609 0.026640 0.035243 0.047456 0.064579 0.091151
2025-07-20 0.015478 0.020214 0.026502 0.035640 0.048893 0.067920 0.098281
2025-07-27 0.014803 0.019558 0.025962 0.035424 0.049408 0.069920 0.103478
2025-08-03 0.014183 0.018942 0.025440 0.035190 0.049860 0.071820 0.108624
2025-08-10 0.013599 0.018354 0.024933 0.034955 0.050304 0.073750 0.114006
2025-08-17 0.013103 0.017867 0.024544 0.034869 0.050960 0.076037 0.120149
2025-08-24 0.012527 0.017236 0.023915 0.034379 0.050945 0.077236 0.124512
2025-08-31 0.011951 0.016581 0.023217 0.033744 0.050652 0.077945 0.128048
2025-09-07 0.011502 0.016093 0.022744 0.033426 0.050840 0.079443 0.133089
2025-09-14 0.011091 0.015643 0.022306 0.033137 0.051051 0.080977 0.138296
2025-09-21 0.010626 0.015094 0.021695 0.032539 0.050706 0.081518 0.141665
2025-09-28 0.010425 0.014936 0.021673 0.032886 0.051966 0.084934 0.150808
2025-10-05 0.010151 0.014654 0.021446 0.032881 0.052614 0.087289 0.158067
2025-10-12 0.009977 0.014520 0.021444 0.033246 0.053921 0.090915 0.168196
2025-10-19 0.009686 0.014191 0.021118 0.033048 0.054214 0.092675 0.174625